Poll: WE Charity controversy harms Trudeau
(Ottawa) Half of Canadians would agree to calling an early general election if the Office of the Conflict of Interest and Ethics Commissioner found Prime Minister Justin Trudeau violated the law over the UNIS file, says one recent poll.
The Léger poll, conducted for the Association for Canadian Studies before Mr. Trudeau testified before a Commons committee, indicates that residents of the Prairies are in the most urgent need to bring down the Liberal government (59 to 64% of respondents ); Atlantic and Ontario citizens would be less eager (40 and 43%). Quebec is roughly in the middle, but within the national average, at 52%.
Not surprisingly, the poll suggests that holding an early poll would be endorsed 78% by Conservative Party supporters and 67% by Bloc Québécois supporters. Respondents who favor the New Democratic Party or the Green Party are less eager to go to the polls (43 and 46%).
The poll also shows that the UNIS controversy has hurt the popularity of the Liberal Party and the Prime Minister. Half of the respondents said the UNIS affair had "aggravated" their opinion of Mr. Trudeau and 42% felt that this controversy had aggravated their opinion of the Liberal Party.
This trend appears to put power within the reach of the Conservative Party - even though activists have yet to choose their new leader. The poll gives 33% of the support of Canadian voters to the Liberal Party, 31% to the Conservative Party, 20% to the New Democratic Party, 8% to the Bloc Québécois and 6% to the Green Party. On July 27, the same pollster gave the Liberals two points more and the Conservatives two points less.
In Quebec, the Bloc still dominates at 33% of voting intentions. The Liberals follow at 27%, the Conservatives at 18% and the New Democrats at 16%; the greens close the race at 4%.
The survey was conducted with a web panel of 1,531 Canadians from July 24 to 26. Experts in research and methodology find that it is impossible to attribute a margin of error to an online survey since the sampling method is non-probability.
Not surprisingly, the poll suggests that holding an early poll would be endorsed 78% by Conservative Party supporters and 67% by Bloc Québécois supporters. Respondents who favor the New Democratic Party or the Green Party are less eager to go to the polls (43 and 46%).
The poll also shows that the UNIS controversy has hurt the popularity of the Liberal Party and the Prime Minister. Half of the respondents said the UNIS affair had "aggravated" their opinion of Mr. Trudeau and 42% felt that this controversy had aggravated their opinion of the Liberal Party.
This trend appears to put power within the reach of the Conservative Party - even though activists have yet to choose their new leader. The poll gives 33% of the support of Canadian voters to the Liberal Party, 31% to the Conservative Party, 20% to the New Democratic Party, 8% to the Bloc Québécois and 6% to the Green Party. On July 27, the same pollster gave the Liberals two points more and the Conservatives two points less.
In Quebec, the Bloc still dominates at 33% of voting intentions. The Liberals follow at 27%, the Conservatives at 18% and the New Democrats at 16%; the greens close the race at 4%.
The survey was conducted with a web panel of 1,531 Canadians from July 24 to 26. Experts in research and methodology find that it is impossible to attribute a margin of error to an online survey since the sampling method is non-probability.